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ROB BALLEW

Calling it Like I See it, Since 1974!
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Clinton is Democrats' favourite for White House but ....

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Senator Hillary Clinton is the favourite among Democratic voters to be the party's candidate in the 2008 presidential election, according to a poll.

But only 12 percent of Democrat electors believe the wife of ex-president Bill Clinton can overcome the hostility of US Republicans to take the White House, according to the Financial Dynamics poll for The Hotline political newsletter.

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{"commentId":108960,"authorDomain":"vulgrin"}

She's not my favorite.

I'm all for a woman President. Really. I have no bias about the gender of the nation's leader. But... we have a LOT of damage to repair with the next presidency. I fear another 4-8 years of a Bush-a-like would destroy this country. There is just TOO much on the line to start experimenting with something like this.

Not only is she a woman, who I belive the majority of the country are not ready for, but she's a Clinton. And while I think Bill Clinton was one of the greatest Presidents of our time, the name carries a LOT of baggage. The RNC would love to run against Clinton - the political donation ads practically write themselves.

I think we need to find a broader candidate, that is a lot more to the center and is a fresh face amongst all of the Washington Carnage. If the DNC delivers Clinton or, god help us, Kerry again, and McCain steps up - I might seriously vote Republican for the first time in my life, and cast for McCain.

{"commentId":108960,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"vulgrin"}
  • 17 votes
Reply#1 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 9:55 AM EDT
{"commentId":109873,"authorDomain":"behindmyscreen"}

"Please God, tell Al Gore to get up and run again so he may pull a Nixon and win 8 years after his previous loss.... But not to much Nixon because I do not want some criminal scandal."

{"commentId":109873,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"behindmyscreen"}
  • 1 vote
#1.1 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 12:01 AM EDT
Reply
{"commentId":109104,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

She is an odd pick for a favorite given the contention over her name and views. It seems like she'd be an easy one to beat. But it begs the question, who is she really competing with? What other frontrunners are there for the Democrat nod that could take her place? No names really stand out, and that more than her own electability seems to be the reason she's such a popular name in that circle.

{"commentId":109104,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
  • 2 votes
Reply#2 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 12:02 PM EDT
{"commentId":109213,"authorDomain":"super-structure"}

That's very true, but also remember this: back in '91, no one had ever heard of anyone named Clinton running for a national office, either. There are actually many other names being floated around right now, some national and some more regional (in both parties, as a matter of fact). The public and the Democratic party as a whole will need the next year to have any real feel for who's who.

{"commentId":109213,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"super-structure"}
  • 1 vote
#2.1 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:41 PM EDT
{"commentId":109264,"authorDomain":"vulgrin"}

I agree. And remember in 1999, no one thought that those people pushing Bush were serious either, and many laughed it off.

{"commentId":109264,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"vulgrin"}
  • 1 vote
#2.2 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:14 PM EDT
{"commentId":109266,"authorDomain":"super-structure"}

I laugh every time some one says He's the governor of where? in Primary Colors.

{"commentId":109266,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"super-structure"}
    #2.3 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:16 PM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":109169,"authorDomain":"powercow"}

    If she runs republicans will win, she is on a short list of people that would make me vote for the other guy unless that other guy was cheney.
    Not that i wouldnt love to see a woman preident and i think we need it.. i dont think Hilary is a woman.
    or really a dem. Or for that matter a leader. I would take dean, reid or even kerry again over hilary. I personaly hope for the dems.. that all this postering for hilary is just to get republicians to plan for the wrong guy.

    {"commentId":109169,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"powercow"}
    • 2 votes
    Reply#3 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 12:58 PM EDT
    {"commentId":109193,"authorDomain":"200MilesUp"}

    My feeling is that it won't matter who the Democrats run in '08 unless the incumbent President turns his Presidency radically around.

    {"commentId":109193,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"200MilesUp"}
    • 1 vote
    Reply#4 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:20 PM EDT
    {"commentId":109217,"authorDomain":"super-structure"}

    Oluseye, I'm not entirely sure what you're saying there. Not to be condescending in anyway, but the US has a two-term limit so there can be no incumbent in the '08 presidential race.

    {"commentId":109217,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"super-structure"}
    • 1 vote
    #4.1 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:43 PM EDT
    {"commentId":109223,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

    I don't know, Oluseye. Bush is unpopular, but I think people are more capable of separating candidates than you might think. Clinton's popularity dipped extremely low near the end of his term, and Gore separated himself from him in public events, and then came very near winning. Bush's (lack of) popularity will probably hurt the Republicans, but I think the greater danger between the parties is overconfidence on the part of the Democrats. Don't assume you have it in the bag, or you'll lose.

    {"commentId":109223,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
    • 3 votes
    #4.2 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:45 PM EDT
    {"commentId":109229,"authorDomain":"200MilesUp"}

    The incumbent is the current President whose Presidency isn't going well. It doesn't look like he can turn things around. For that reason, the Republicans could be damaged for a long time by his record, making it irrelevant who the democrats field in '08 since they would have a generic advantage.

    {"commentId":109229,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"200MilesUp"}
    • 2 votes
    #4.3 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:47 PM EDT
    {"commentId":109232,"authorDomain":"super-structure"}

    My apologies, I had mistakenly assumed you were implying President Bush would run for a third term.

    {"commentId":109232,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"super-structure"}
      #4.4 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:51 PM EDT
      Reply
      {"commentId":109205,"authorDomain":"aine"}

      What kind of polling company is "Financial Dynamics"? I'd never heard of it before.

      Only references to them I can find have nothing to do with polling, but shows them to be a financial services / public relations firm. Some of their clients include: Coca Cola, GMAC, and Management Recruiters International, among others.

      {"commentId":109205,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"aine"}
      • 2 votes
      Reply#5 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:29 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109208,"authorDomain":"kek"}

      While I am starting to regret voting for Bush (yes, both times), I can't ever see myself voting for Hillary. I hope above all hopes that she is not nominated, she will be just as divisive as Bush is now. We need a leader who can bring people together. Mark Warner is my choice.

      http://www.forwardtogetherpac . com

      {"commentId":109208,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"kek"}
      • 3 votes
      Reply#6 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:31 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109228,"authorDomain":"super-structure"}

      While I jokingly question the sanity of anyone who voted for President Bush a second time (I know so many Republicans that just left that box blank), I agree with totally. A moderate with a track record of bipartisanship is what the country truly needs.

      If the Democrats can't put up someone who fills that role but the Republicans do, then I'll vote for that individual.

      {"commentId":109228,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"super-structure"}
      • 1 vote
      #6.1 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 1:47 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109443,"authorDomain":"kek"}

      If Edwards had been the candidate it would have been no question, but Kerry just gets under my skin. Plus the information that has come out since the election would have more than changed my vote, but they were conveniently able to suppress all of that.

      {"commentId":109443,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"kek"}
      • 1 vote
      #6.2 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 4:28 PM EDT
      Reply
      {"commentId":109249,"authorDomain":"greathoj"}

      But why all this focus on just the Republicans and Democrats?

      I realize that they are the major parties, and one of their candidates will most likely win, but this is mainly due to all of the attention they get. Why not give the spotlight to some of the smaller parties (Green, Libertarian, Independents)? People have been saying that the nation has been screwed up for years, due to whichever party was in power during the previous presidency, so why not try something new?

      And on that note, why are these other candidates not allowed to participate in the presidential debates? Is it that they really aren't allowed to, or they just don't want to?

      {"commentId":109249,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"greathoj"}
      • 1 vote
      Reply#7 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:04 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109268,"authorDomain":"ejecta"}

      I totally agree with you. I think that people get our two major parties confused with the ideologies they are "supposed" to represent. The reality is that both parties, when considered as a whole (I know I'm generalizing and I probably shouldn't be), are dirty. Neither party (as a whole, once again) is really interested in representing the public. Instead, both parties are representing themselves and their own interests. Unfortunately, due to the stranglehold that both parties have parties maintain on the elections (think of the debate contract between Bush and Kerry in the last general election), a major win for a smaller party is much more than an uphill battle.

      {"commentId":109268,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"ejecta"}
      • 2 votes
      #7.1 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:19 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109269,"authorDomain":"vulgrin"}

      I don't know what the exact rules are, but yes there are certain popularity / polling percentage rules for most of those debates. In part I'm sure to keep out the "crazies" and in part to solidify and keep the alternative parties you mention from participating in the process. (I believe this happened back in 2000 with Nader, in that some suggested he was actively kept out of the debates.)

      Ross Perot is the only one in recent history that I know of that participated in a national debate with the main parties.

      Back to your point about giving the spotlight to these third parties, besides Nader who managed to touch a nerve and Perot who had enough money to just buy his own way onto television, no one in those parties has managed to have the presence to be able to stand up get the media's attention.

      {"commentId":109269,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"vulgrin"}
      • 2 votes
      #7.2 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:19 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109272,"authorDomain":"vulgrin"}

      Michael, I think you have it backwards. I think the parties as a whole are "good" and taken as a whole both parties have positive messages for America.

      I think instead its the individuals in each party that are the problem, are "dirty", and want power for power's sake.

      I as a Democrat don't believe the Republican Party is Evil or Power Hungry. But I sure as heck know that Tom DeLay was "dirty" and not good for America.

      {"commentId":109272,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"vulgrin"}
      • 3 votes
      #7.3 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:22 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109277,"authorDomain":"greathoj"}

      The Libertarian candidate didn't really get a lot of media attention, but I believe he got the most votes of any non-Democrat, non-Republican candidate, and possibly more than all of the other alternative candidates combined. If that can continue to happen then maybe people will start to pay attention.

      {"commentId":109277,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"greathoj"}
      • 1 vote
      #7.4 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:25 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109280,"authorDomain":"vulgrin"}

      Which libertarian candidate are you talking about exactly? As far as I know, Nader was a Green.

      Don't take this comment the right way, as I'm not trying to troll here, but it seems you can't even name this candidate. Doesn't bode well for the party if advocates can't name the person, does it?

      {"commentId":109280,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"vulgrin"}
      • 2 votes
      #7.5 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:28 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109283,"authorDomain":"greathoj"}

      Michael (sp?) Badnarik was the LP candidate.

      {"commentId":109283,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"greathoj"}
      • 1 vote
      #7.6 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:28 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109286,"authorDomain":"greathoj"}

      I didn't put his name in, but just referred to him as "the Libertarian candidate" since I didn't think that most people would remember him.

      And, from Wikipedia:

      "Badnarik and Green Party candidate David Cobb were arrested in St. Louis, Missouri, on October 8, 2004, for an act of civil disobedience. Badnarik and Cobb were protesting their exclusion from the presidential debates of the 2004 presidential election campaign. They were arrested after crossing a police barricade in an attempt to serve an Order to Show Cause to the Commission on Presidential Debates."

      {"commentId":109286,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"greathoj"}
      • 1 vote
      #7.7 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:30 PM EDT
      Reply
      {"commentId":109261,"authorDomain":"greathoj"}

      I'm surprised nobody has said this yet, but it has to be done...

      "But, hasn't Hillary Clinton already been president for two terms?"

      All right! Giggidy giggidy giggidy!

      {"commentId":109261,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"greathoj"}
      • 4 votes
      Reply#8 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:13 PM EDT
      {"commentId":109265,"authorDomain":"jnearen"}

      Please, please, please let it be Hillary . . . She may be the Republican's only hope

      {"commentId":109265,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"jnearen"}
        Reply#9 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:15 PM EDT
        {"commentId":109274,"authorDomain":"yoharryo"}

        Oh well...I guess Russ Feingold isn't gonna get much of a looksee...

        {"commentId":109274,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"yoharryo"}
        • 1 vote
        Reply#10 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:24 PM EDT
        {"commentId":109545,"authorDomain":"darkside"}

        I would take Feingold.

        In fact, he seems to be the only name for either of the major parties that has any integrity at all. I would like to see him as president, but god I don't envy him (or anyone else) if/when he wins. The next president will have a hell of a mess to clean up.

        {"commentId":109545,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"darkside"}
          #10.1 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 5:39 PM EDT
          Reply
          {"commentId":109419,"authorDomain":"eSantiago"}

          No one is thinking of great governors in America that may/might step up to the plate. Giuliani would totally have my vote! too bad he's not coming out about his Presidential aspirations until the fall. I lived in NY while he was governor, he was fantastic. Record low taxes, school improvements, legislation that made sense was approved, as a Pres he would be a sh!tload better than a censor-toting-should-be-divorcee, we all know she stayed will him for the name. Rodham isn't exactly a well known political name.

          {"commentId":109419,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"eSantiago"}
            Reply#11 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 4:09 PM EDT
            {"commentId":109453,"authorDomain":"kek"}

            If it came to Giuliani or Hillary, I'm voting for Mickey Mouse and moving to Vienna, Austria (because I love the city, not for the politics). I'm tired of politicians propping themselves up on 9/11. If 9/11 happened a year later, 90% of the US would be asking, "Giuliani who?" While he made out well in the aftermath, anyone could have done just as well because the infrastructure was all still in place. What did he do that was so extraordinary and unique?

            {"commentId":109453,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"kek"}
              #11.1 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 4:37 PM EDT
              {"commentId":109730,"authorDomain":"eSantiago"}

              That is the point, I don't see you calling for the governor of Louisiana to step up to the presidency... Anyhow he was fantastic as a leader of NY, a state second only to California in contributions to the Union. I think he'd have the name for it, he just needs a running mate, someone as you say, doesn't need 9/11 to prop against.

              {"commentId":109730,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"eSantiago"}
                #11.2 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 8:57 PM EDT
                {"commentId":109753,"authorDomain":"kek"}

                Not to be rude, but I don't think you got my point. I would say that the Governor of Louisiana would have done as well as Giuliani after 9/11 and that Giuliani would not have done much better than the Governor of Louisiana after Katrina. The most important part of each of the catastrophes was the emergency response infrastructure in place, something that each politician had little to do with. Out of 9/11 Giuliani has ridden a wave of heroism because he was mayor when the attacks came. Without 9/11 he would just be a has been mayor, but instead he is a major contender for the leadership of the free world. What has he done to deserve this?

                {"commentId":109753,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"kek"}
                  #11.3 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 9:37 PM EDT
                  {"commentId":109960,"authorDomain":"brgiant"}

                  Guilliani was the mayor of NYC... not the governor of the state of NY.

                  {"commentId":109960,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"brgiant"}
                  • 3 votes
                  #11.4 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:42 AM EDT
                  Reply
                  {"commentId":109487,"authorDomain":"giromide"}

                  The ideal 2008 matchup might be Feingold vs. McCain or Obama vs. McCain, but the stupid machines wouldn't allow for this.

                  There's this whole conspiracy theory stating that the "Clintonistas" set up Kerry to fail so Hillary could run. This could be true, but the DNC would be shooting itself in the foot if they made her their candidate. She's far too polarizing, guaranteeing a large turnout against her in the contested states.

                  {"commentId":109487,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"giromide"}
                  • 2 votes
                  Reply#12 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 4:52 PM EDT
                  {"commentId":109696,"authorDomain":"robknight"}

                  I just don't feel comfortable with a Clinton, period. There tends to be a myopic approach to these "frontrunner" stories that I can't stand.

                  After listening to Joe Biden speak on the Real Time with Bill Maher podcast (iTunes link; Episode 74) last week, I'd vote for him in a heartbeat. The problem is these folks rarely speak the same way in the middle of election season as they did in the run up to election season. I was real impressed, though. I've always appreciated Biden's approach.

                  I just hate the idea that Democrats can't put up anyone but a Clinton. There are other great leaders in the party and I don't think Hillary goes over well anywhere but on the eastern seaboard.

                  {"commentId":109696,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"robknight"}
                  • 2 votes
                  Reply#13 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 8:21 PM EDT
                  {"commentId":110111,"authorDomain":"aine"}

                  Biden has a problem, though, which is going to be brought up should he be the front runner for the Dems. It has to do with some incidents while he was in college and afterwards, having to do with plagiarism. And you know the Republicans would seize on that and destroy his image on every media outlet. That's never going to go away for Biden.

                  {"commentId":110111,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"aine"}
                    #13.1 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:16 AM EDT
                    {"commentId":110186,"authorDomain":"200MilesUp"}

                    I don't know. What I do know is that every candidate has a big defect much like everyone of us. It's a matter of running a good campaign in all 50 states.

                    {"commentId":110186,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"200MilesUp"}
                      #13.2 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:26 AM EDT
                      {"commentId":110206,"authorDomain":"aine"}

                      Even the best run campaign in all 50 states may not matter so much as the integrity of the voting machines and the vote counting process. All Americans of whatever political persuasion should be concerned about that.

                      {"commentId":110206,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"aine"}
                      • 2 votes
                      #13.3 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:55 AM EDT
                      {"commentId":110858,"authorDomain":"robknight"}

                      I know of Biden's past issues. I would hope that the American people are smarter than that. If he runs a campaign in the same tone in which he spoke on Bill Maher's show, I think he'd do fine.

                      It is hard to overcome a Republican party that really isn't concerned with the issues, but would rather play it like a junior high popularity contest. So in that respect, anyone with a solid message and hopeful ideas that could actually turn the country around is always going to have tough time.

                      {"commentId":110858,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"robknight"}
                      • 2 votes
                      #13.4 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 7:05 PM EDT
                      Reply
                      {"commentId":109719,"authorDomain":"yar"}
                      yarDeleted
                      {"commentId":109791,"authorDomain":"thefilipino"}

                      John McCain and Jon Stewart would make a great presidential ticket ... seriously.

                      {"commentId":109791,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"thefilipino"}
                        Reply#15 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 10:28 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":109800,"authorDomain":"darkside"}

                        Except every time McCain starts to make me think like he's the Real Thing, he goes and tows the republican party line. I like Stewart and Chomsky.

                        {"commentId":109800,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"darkside"}
                        • 1 vote
                        #15.1 - Thu Apr 27, 2006 10:47 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":109879,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

                        The funny thing, Myk, is that Republicans say that exact same thing in reverse. That's why he'll never get elected... he just confuses and infuriates everyone equally. ;-)

                        {"commentId":109879,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
                          #15.2 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 12:08 AM EDT
                          Reply
                          {"commentId":109962,"authorDomain":"stevenlong"}

                          Not to be a jerk: Giuliani was never a governor. I double checked. He way mayor. Maybe that is good enough.

                          But I was going to bring up the 'governor' thing.
                          People from the legislative branch haven't won an presidential election for a long time.

                          A democrat governor in a state that normally votes republican would be good (it worked for Clinton).
                          Sebelius (dem gov from KS with high approval rating) is a fine example. She would automatically plausible for winning her home state and a handful of normally red states would be in play.
                          Midwest, South, Southwest, any would be good.
                          Or Florida, that could help, but that governor is on the other side.

                          Clinton would likely lose, but she has been trying to reach to the other side recently. She was the leader on the attack against Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (hot coffee mod). She is trying to show family values. The attack about Monica is strange to use against her, she was the forgiving wife.

                          I like Biden, Obama, McCain, and kinda Edwards. (any of that and I'll be fine, you stay out of it, Jeb).

                          {"commentId":109962,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"stevenlong"}
                          • 3 votes
                          Reply#16 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:46 AM EDT
                          {"commentId":110018,"authorDomain":"super-structure"}

                          This is one reason a lot of people like Gov. Warner for the Democratic ticket. A Democrat with 70%+ approval rating in Virginia, a fairly solid red state.

                          {"commentId":110018,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"super-structure"}
                          • 1 vote
                          #16.1 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 6:24 AM EDT
                          Reply
                          {"commentId":110077,"authorDomain":"eSantiago"}

                          My mistake, I must admit I called him a governor, but even as Mayor of NYC, I think there is a possibility.
                          Cow's Idea of a Dem Governor from a Republican state sounds good to me, though.

                          {"commentId":110077,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"eSantiago"}
                            Reply#17 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 8:37 AM EDT
                            {"commentId":110097,"authorDomain":"eSantiago"}

                            Pataki is a governor and is considering the Presidency....however you did say it will depend largely on his stewardship of rebuilding NYC, which is exactly the case with Pataki also.

                            {"commentId":110097,"threadId":"29527","contentId":"179736","authorDomain":"eSantiago"}
                              Reply#18 - Fri Apr 28, 2006 8:59 AM EDT
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